👑 Royal Ascot 2023: It’s a draw…
Bloody roasty toasty outside right now 🥵🥵🥵
Still it does mean we are getting the sort of ground condition you’d expect at this time of the year… which is always a bonus on the analysis and punting front…
And some lovely quick (and not changing!) ground will do just fine for next week’s ROYAL ASCOT action…
Five days of top quality Group races and ultra-competitive big field handicaps… lovely stuff!
I’ve just released a FREE NTF Guide to members of the FREE NTF Mailing List, looking at the impact the draw has on a selection of races run over the round course at Royal Ascot…
If you are already on that list then take a look in your inbox as the link to the guide will be there… if you are not already on the list then slide along to the page on the link below and get the guide sent to your inbox instantly…
📝 ROYAL ASCOT 2023: IT’S A DRAW >>>
The guide contains information such as the below…
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Royal Ascot 2023 – 3.05 Kensington Palace Stakes – Wed 21st June
Draw/Pace Bias…
Only been two previous renewals of this but similar races run over the round mile at Ascot (since 2006), specifically those with fields of 12+, do give us some interesting draw splits to factor in for the KENSINGTON PALACE STAKES…
Draw Segment Splits (18 races… Ascot 1m | round track | fields of 12 or more)
18 winners – 59 Win & Place Horses
Q1 – 2 Winners (61% below exp) | 13 Win & Place
Q2 – 4 Winners (36% below exp) | 16 Win & Place
Q3 – 6 Winners (8% above exp) | 13 Win & Place
Q4 – 6 Winners (14% above exp) | 17 Win & Place
So the top half of the draw (Q3 & Q4) looks the place to be in these races, or at least it’s an advantage to be drawn there…
Q1 struggles to make a major impact…
There are actually some further interesting figures when you split the draw in half…
Bottom Half of the draw – 6 winners from 137 runners | -£84.75 BFLSP | 47% below exp
Top Half of the draw – 12 winners from 127 runners | +£80.90 BFLSP | 11% above exp
The bottom half of the draw are OVER-BET and the top half of the draw are UNDER-BET…
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Get the full FREE ROYAL ASCOT 2023 guide on the following link…
📝 ROYAL ASCOT 2023: IT’S A DRAW >>>
…and the latest episode of The Racing PodBlast is also now available, where we are concentrating on Days 1, 2 & 3 of Royal Ascot 2023…
🎧 Listen to the latest PodBlast HERE>>>
Cheers – Ben (NTF)
…and sticking (loosely!) with the Royal theme… let’s finish off this post with the following tune…
Looking forward to the selections of winners!